Actions speak louder than words. A reflection for Fig Monday.

Having spent the night after the dramatic events of Palm Sunday in Bethany, about a half-hour walk from Jerusalem, Jesus returns to the capital in the morning to preach in the Temple. Fig Monday is a day of parables, especially in Matthew’s Gospel, and many of those parables are difficult, not least the story from which the day gets its name, where Jesus, feeling peckish, stops for a snack and causes a fig tree to wither away because it had no fruit.

Let us instead turn to one which, at first glance, keeps us on familiar territory in the Gospel narratives – the Parable of the Two Sons.

A man with two sons asks them both to go and work in his vineyard. One says he will but doesn’t; the other says he won’t, but changes his mind later and gets stuck in. The latter, obviously, was the one doing what his father wanted. Jesus then tells the ‘chief-priests and elders of the nation’ that tax-collectors and prostitutes are entering the Kingdom of God ahead of them: even before Jesus began his public ministry, they listened to John the Baptist when he showed them they right way to live, while the religious élite refused to believe that they were not already living correctly. Continue reading

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Do we need more Christians in politics? A reflection for Palm Sunday

“We need more Christians in politics.” As someone whose life has largely revolved around two pillars – politics and the Church, I have heard this phrase endlessly. For a long time I didn’t question its basic sense – Christianity is, after all, not about pious churchiness but building the kingdom of God. As Isaiah prophesied “He will not fail or be discouraged till he has established justice in the earth; and the coastlands wait for his law.” Establishing justice and God’s law inevitably means dealing with the rulers of the world, and that means dealing in politics.

Yet, in recent years, Palm Sunday has made me ask whether we actually do need more Christians in politics. I’m not, for a second, suggesting that Christians should actively avoid politics – I have met politicians for whom that profession was clearly God’s calling to them. But I can no longer accept the simple equation that more Christians in politics equals a more Christian politics, or that building a more Christlike society will necessarily flow from having more Christians in positions of temporal power. Indeed, the often lamentable and bloody records of states run by Christians should tell us that. Scripture tells us the same thing, in those familiar Holy Week stories.

As we are called to pattern our lives on Christ’s, let us look at how Christ behaved when presented with a golden opportunity to take on political power on that first Palm Sunday.

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UKIP’s voters – older, more male and more working class. But especially older.

Cross-posted at Slugger O’Toole

YouGov have produced a wonderful composite of all their February 2013 polling to try and give a realistic picture of which bits of the electorate are behind UKIP’s polling surge into double figures , a trend which was clear well before the party pushed the Tories into third place in the Eastleigh by-election last week. There are reasons why one needs to be slightly cautious about polling composites, but with 28,944 total respondents and 2788 UKIP supporting respondents, this is a significant piece of opinion research.

I was alerted to it by a good analysis piece Jonathan Jones put on the Spectator blog yesterday. I don’t particularly disagree with anything that Jonathan wrote in that piece, although I think I come to a slightly different set of conclusions than he has.

The biggest variation from the general population characteristic of UKIP voters in YouGov’s surveys is that they are more likely than average – much more likely than average – to be old. While 38% of the electorate is aged between 18 and 40, only 15% of UKIP’s voters are young. On the other hand, UKIP voters are more than twice as likely as the general population to be over 60 (48% as opposed to 28%). YouGov hasn’t drilled down further into this oldest age cohort, and if they did I suspect we would find the concentration of UKIP voters got even higher among over 70s and then over 80s.

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Eastleigh: Bad for Tories, Better for LDs, Best for UKIP

Cross-posted to Slugger O’Toole

So the LibDems held on to Eastleigh by a narrow majority of 1,771 or just 4.3%, with UKIP surging into second place. Alex Massie in the Speccie warns against overanalysing by-elections, while Martin Kettle argued last week in the Guardian that this was the most crucial by-election in decades. I’m inclined to agree with Kettle – I think this could well be a by-election that sets the psephological scene for the next election.

I wonder will this be a ‘canary in the coalmine’ by-election reminiscent of South London’s unglamorous Mitcham and Morden in 1982, one of only a handful of government by-election gains since the war. In that case only a very modest fall in the Tory vote was coupled with a huge defection of erstwhile Labour voters to the SDP/Liberal Alliance, seeing a comfortable Tory gain against a split centre-left, prefiguring what happened in literally dozens of seats in the 1983 General Election. Continue reading

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Ryanair Takeover of Aer Lingus Blocked by EU Commission

The European Commission has blocked Ryanair’s proposed takeover of Aer Lingus. Good news for Northern Ireland, as Dublin Airport’s rapid growth and improved northern road connections has made it the key long-haul transport hub for the region.

Although locally in Belfast, Easyjet, Flybe and BMI remain stronger, a merger of the two main Irish airlines into a budget hyper-carrier would have seen the new airline without a serious competitor across the island –  and inevitably led to higher prices and reduced route options.

The EU rarely gets credit for doing much right, so I’ll say good on ya, European Commission.

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Italy’s Five Star Movement – is this what The End of History looks like?

Cross-posted at Slugger O’Toole and Lucid Talk

In 1992, Francis Fukayama predicted in The End of History that the end of the Cold War would impend not only an era of triumphant liberal-democratic capitalism, but one where political evolution had reached its final form. Western democracy, he argued, was the best form of state organisation practically achievable by humans.

The folly of such naïve Western triumphalism, already being challenged by China’s authoritarian wave of economic growth when Fukayama wrote his book, was laid bare by Mohamed Atta and his accomplices on September 11th 2001, before finally being buried by America’s failure to create new orders in Iraq and Afghanistan. But within Western societies, it could be argued to have some grain of truth.

The class-driven politics of the greater part of the 20th Century is dead in nearly every established democracy. The model of working-class left and bourgeois centre-right was in trouble long before the implosion of the Soviet empire. Technological changes and, arguably, the success of European-style welfare states in expanding the middle-class rendered its logic outdated.

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Evangelical Alliance’s ‘Welcome’ to Gay Couples – Home-Wrecking, Faith-Destroying

Cross-posted to 8aNoWay.com

Christian conservatives are always at pains to point out how ‘welcome’ people in same-sex relationships are in their churches. But how what do they mean by ‘welcome’ – does their understanding of that word match what the rest of us might mean by it?

The Evangelical Alliance in the UK has recently published a document entitled Resources for church leaders: Biblical and pastoral responses to homosexuality (commendably published free online), which helps us explore what is meant by welcome in that theological context.

At the heart of the document are nine fictional case studies of LGB people attending evangelical churches. Let’s explore the sort of experience that the people in one of the fictional case studies, Oliver and William, whose story is briefly detailed, might experience in a fictional Evangelical Anglican parish, which I’ll call St. Paul’s, acting in compliance with the guidance contained in the document. All I have done here is follow one of the case studies through the guidance contained in the document – all quotes below come directly from it.

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Wealth and Poverty In Brazil

Income inequality in Brazil – a favela nestles against a luxury high rise development. Thanks to @fascinatingpics on Twitter.

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Southern Poverty Pimps?

Buried in this Salon article provocatively entitled ‘Southern Poverty Pimps’ is an interesting indirect observation that promoting tax credits as opposed to a higher minimum wage amounts to an effective subsidy of employers who pay their staff badly by employers who pay their staff well. This raises wider questions – would the UK be better off in subsidising what is apparently the most expensive childcare system in the world rather than just paying tax credits? The Nordic experience suggests it may well be better to do that.

As for the rest of the article, it basically argues that Southern politicians’ economic strategy is to create a low-wage, low-social benefits, low-workers’ rights economy which keeps low paid workers docile and helps capture jobs from higher wage parts of the US and other countries. As those politicians have been campaigning for election openly on that platform for a generation now, it’s hardly a staggering insight.

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The Sad State of North Belfast’s Riverside…

Crossposted at Slugger O’Toole

The Harbour Commissioners with Sinclair Seamen's Church in the background - two of Sailortown's little visited gems.

The Harbour Commissioners with Sinclair Seamen’s Church in the background – two of Sailortown’s little visited gems.

A bright, cold, day earlier this week saw me head out for a constitutional along what is now rather a pleasant route along the banks of the Lagan past the Odyssey and up to the Titanic Museum. With the hazy afternoon sun making the East Belfast bank of the river look particularly pretty, and the tourist information signs informing me of the Belfast Maritime Trail, I changed my mind and instead turned left at the Lagan Weir and decided to walk to Sailortown and then on for home.

By chance, the next day I had the opportunity to do the same walk a second time in cloudier and colder conditions, when an American academic friend who has visited Belfast regularly for some years told me he had never been in the New Lodge or Tiger’s Bay. A perfect opportunity for a bit of maritime heritage trailing plus an introduction to North Belfast.

My friend lives in Detroit. The urban DMZ feel at Donegall Quay made him feel right at home.

My friend lives in Detroit. The urban DMZ look at Donegall Quay made him feel right at home.

If one is a maritime history buff or a fan of 19th Century architecture, there is enough of interest to make the walk worthwile, but sadly right-of-access issues mean the walking route regularly departs from the river and at times is downright ugly. As I said, there is enough that it still might appeal to tourists with a particular interest in Victorian North British architecture or maritime history, or locals interested in a part of Belfast that was key to its development as a major industrial port, but this walk must be staggeringly off-putting to any run of the mill tourist.

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