Unherd asked me for my views on Donald Trump’s United Ireland comments, and I was glad to supply them. Here’s an excerpt.
“The United States was founded through a successful rebellion against the British Crown, and Americans have consequently long felt a degree of sympathy for those seeking a united and independent Ireland. For some, that sympathy went much further: during the Troubles, Irish Americans even helped fund the IRA’s campaign, with some going so far as to buy weapons. But across the world, people who know little about Northern Ireland or the precise nature of its communal divisions generally assume that it is natural and inevitable that the region will ultimately leave the UK and reunify with the Republic.
“It is likely that Trump’s remarks reflected that widely held instinct and have no actual diplomatic plan behind them — just another flippant comment made for laughs. But those with more intimate knowledge of what is still a place apart from both Great Britain and the rest of Ireland are only too aware that four centuries of complex and messy ethno-sectarian conflict in Ulster will not vanish quickly.
“Northern Ireland is a notoriously self-obsessed place, where political shifts are measured in decades and generations rather than months or years. It is unlikely to pay much attention to outsiders as its people work out whether its changing demographics will also alter its constitutional status — a genuinely open question.”